May 11, 2009

Mumbai win, but almost did not play themselves in!

Mumbai Indians v Bangalore Royal Challengers, IPL 2009
(second encounter)

Mumbai made 157 for 2 with well constructed knocks from Jayasuria, Rahane and Duminy. Since Tendulkar was out for a duck, it was a fine recovery, but after about 12 overs- it seemed that they did not go for bigger shots. Perhaps, their last few losses had dented their confidence a bit and the reality was that this pitch was really slow and the next man who came in may not get the big shots going.

Nonetheless, this was an example of a T20 batting team in danger of not playing itself in.

But Rahane was indeed a revelation- because he hit many big shots. Brilliant for an orthodox batsman.

I am sure they will rethink their plan- now that Tendulkar, Rahane and Duminy have a similar role! They can get some other strikers, when any one of these is in.

Mumbai need to win at least 3 of 4. They are still very resourceful in bowling and have some decent all-rounders. The good that has emerged from their little slump is that now they have a pretty good idea of who can do that little bit of an all-round role (which bowlers can smack it a bit, and which batters can bowl a few).

They will need to use their all-rounder batsmen (keeper, Bravo, Nayar) and other bowlers (Harbhajan, Malinga etc.)- to get their lucky/fluke shot component going. (see Method-Luck-Fluke Combo Plan).

If Mumbai are willing to add some circus to their method, winning 3 in 4 looks more than likely- since most opposition teams lack a complete bowling attack, which can be exploited by risking in part-time batsmen.

There is perhaps also a good chance that Mumbai may play Pinal Shah (even with Takawale) or an extra batsman, since their 5th bowler options includes Jayasuria, Duminy and Nayar. One might argue that playing too many batsmen in just 20 overs is perhaps not justified, but if they are able to smack 'em even 10 runs in 6 balls, you can throw them around. Tendulkar, Duminy and Rahane (and Jayasuria's strike rates are looking more of a stock player) are sufficient to position the side to a good score. But pushing from good to explosive is what will make the difference.

Saumil
Mumbai
10 May 2009